Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 76.5% on 20 Mar 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 61.5% on 3 Mar 2025. $5.53M traded over the market's life.
659 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 367 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 47.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RobXK | Yes | 80.07K |
| goooofy | Yes | 71.82K |
| YoungGriff | Yes | 53.4K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point between January 1, 2025, ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-national-bitcoin-reserve-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| BowlOfPunch | Yes | 44.94K |
| gopfan2 | Yes | 35.74K |
| feture | Yes | 30.84K |
| blipblob | Yes | 23.7K |
| Generator | Yes | 23.62K |
| pmhuman | Yes | 17.06K |
| djwcx | Yes | 14.49K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
