Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 28 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 127 daily closes on record from 28 May 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 61% on 2 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 54.5% on 30 May 2025. $12.14K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 6:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 127 points, 28 May 2025 – 1 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2025 | 19.5% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sirw | Yes | 1.77K |
| Luckyfortunate | Yes | 349.6 |
| omnicake | Yes | 138.57 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named entity launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between July 1, 12:00 AM and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the named entity's team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-in-q3-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 135.62 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 132.77 |
| ejrdanon | Yes | 103.74 |
| Bite-Sized-Airbag | Yes | 69.76 |
| Misguided-Rainbow | Yes | 62.86 |
| sham710 | Yes | 60 |
| Iulianiiv | Yes | 51.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
