Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 30.95 | $0.918 | $21.31 | -$7.12 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 0.95 | $0.870 | $0.83 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.660 |
| $132 |
| Jan 16, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 496 | $0.920 | $456.32 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 199.98 | $0.620 | $123.99 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.018 | $1.8 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.018 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 472.62 | $0.439 | $207.61 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 388 | $0.830 | $322.04 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.520 | $574 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 200 | $0.640 | $128 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.230 | $92 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.230 | $92 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.230 | $115 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.230 | $115 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.210 | $84 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.69 | $0.944 | $14.81 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.680 | $68 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?No | sell | 299.99 | $0.968 | $290.29 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 101.23 | $0.730 | $73.9 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.490 | $14.85 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.050 | $1.75 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 28.64 | $0.740 | $21.19 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4900 September 8–14?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 49.62 | $0.140 | $6.95 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?No | buy | 25 | $0.238 | $5.95 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?Up | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Cardano ETF in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.860 | $25.8 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 50.46 | $0.826 | $41.66 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Aug 22, 2025 |