Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 19.9% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 367 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 20.8% on 10 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. $294.74K traded over the market's life.
148 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 367 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 19.9% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sd2333 | Yes | 6K |
| ADudeEgg | No | 5K |
| hanniphampani | Yes | 3.94K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-pandemic-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Grugg | Yes | 1.33K |
| Lepolo | Yes | 1.01K |
| jkgogdog | Yes | 1K |
| eknif32 | Yes | 838.56 |
| goontown | Yes | 666.67 |
| H.Beclere | Yes | 529.18 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 472 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
