Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 20.73 |
| $0.965 |
| $20 |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 24.09 | $0.750 | $18.07 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?No | buy | 5.94 | $0.842 | $5 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.910 | $10.34 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?Yes | sell | 6.32 | $0.890 | $5.62 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 20.92 | $0.956 | $20 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?Gaza | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen on October 1 ET?Yes | buy | 30.5 | $0.033 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Israel not strike Yemen by October 1 ET?Yes | buy | 30.4 | $0.987 | $30 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | sell | 87.04 | $0.240 | $20.89 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?Yes | sell | 27.39 | $0.450 | $12.33 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” after SeptemberYes | buy | 101.04 | $0.990 | $100 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Did US Refuel Israeli Aircraft in the Qatar Strike?No | buy | 10.25 | $0.976 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?No | buy | 32.61 | $0.920 | $30 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by September 30?No | sell | 5.43 | $0.808 | $4.38 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?No | sell | 12.3 | $0.680 | $8.36 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.55 | $0.726 | $20 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 22.96 | $0.871 | $20 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 39.14 | $0.511 | $20 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.59 | $0.725 | $20 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by September 30?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Choo Kyung-ho in jail by October 31?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?No | buy | 9.64 | $0.830 | $8 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 SPOLU wins 20% or more of vote in Czech election?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Sep 1, 2025 |