Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 6, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$11.8M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 6, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 6 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 2.9% on 3 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 370 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2025 to 6 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 6 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 5 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 19.8% on 29 Aug 2025. $11.75M traded over the market's life.

988 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 370 points, 3 Jan 2025 – 6 Jan 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.42M
Cosmic Sphinx FF78	No	138.82K
Crimson Summit B000	No	108.47K

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.