Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 97.3% on 10 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 85 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 28 Dec 2025 and the lowest 95.5% on 19 Oct 2025. $87.8K traded over the market's life.
83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 85 points, 10 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2025 | 97.3% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| miklan | No | 4.63K |
| Passionate-Retouching | No | 3.57K |
| Glamorous-Goose | No | 2.34K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - US confirms that aliens exist - Conclusive proof becomes public that the Earth is flat - Trump says the Moon Landing was faked Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Conspiracy+Edition.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-conspiracy-edition
| No |
| 1.2K |
| WhatTheHelly | No | 1.14K |
| kuranes90 | No | 1K |
| CannaDough | No | 893.89 |
| Playful-Disability | No | 587.38 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 486.47 |
| disclosuretoday | No | 454.55 |
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