Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 29, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$14.3M

Resolved

Settled

Sep 29, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 29 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 91%. Yes opened at 18% on 5 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 87 daily closes on record from 5 Jul 2025 to 29 Sep 2025, the highest close was 73.5% on 3 Sep 2025 and the lowest 9% on 29 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 24.5% on 19 Sep 2025. $14.3M traded over the market's life.

542 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 12:51 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 5 Jul 2025 – 29 Sep 2025

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
RealNogger	Yes	357.49K
Testao	Yes	234.53K
boosted.boyo	Yes	101.85K

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On July 4, 2025, @real_lord_miles announced he would be "water fasting for 40 DAYS AND NIGHTS in one of the hottest Deserts in the world in isolation" (see: https://x.com/real_lord_miles/status/1941056296137949678). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lord Miles completes a continuous 40-day water-only fast in a desert by September 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The fast must be publicly documented through livestreams, video, or credible reporting. If Miles consumes any food or calories other than water and electrolytes during the 40 days, or if he otherwise abandons the fast, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and/or direct video evidence.