Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 15 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 322 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2025 to 2 Dec 2025, the highest close was 29% on 14 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 14% on 22 Jan 2025. $1.37M traded over the market's life.
272 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 322 points, 15 Jan 2025 – 2 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 9.5% |
| 2 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 568.08K |
| Fortunate-Assurance | Yes | 237.98K |
| luckyshoe | Yes | 40.06K |
This is a market group over which movie will make the most money over its opening weekend in 2025.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-best-opening-weekend-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| alen | Yes | 15.87K |
| Genuine-Ecliptic | Yes | 13.87K |
| Artistic-Card | Yes | 12.16K |
| Pancp | Yes | 10K |
| ethmar | Yes | 9.83K |
| Yummy4 | Yes | 8.14K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 7.42K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
