Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1.28K | $0.238 | $83.3 | -$221.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 381.18 | $0.131 | $50 | 7d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 294.25 |
| $0.686 |
| $25.01 |
| -$176.99 |
 Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Yes | 312.53 | $0.195 | $15.31 | -$45.69 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 75.63 | $0.661 | $11.04 | -$38.96 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 224.16 | $0.620 | $7.73 | -$131.27 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 381.18 | $0.131 | $3.81 | -$46.19 |
| buy |
| 156.25 |
| $0.160 |
| $25 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes | buy | 184.56 | $0.060 | $11 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 224.15 | $0.620 | $139 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 350.49 | $0.168 | $59 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.130 | $30 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.019 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.540 | $100 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | May 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 270.27 | $0.920 | $248.65 | May 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 270.27 | $0.740 | $200 | May 8, 2026 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 150.25 | $0.067 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
 Critical Discord Incident by May 31?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.187 | $19.64 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.270 | $15 | May 7, 2026 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | May 1, 2026 |
| Critical Discord Incident by May 31?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | May 1, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 75.63 | $0.661 | $50 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | sell | 60.97 | $0.670 | $40.85 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 350.82 | $0.285 | $100 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 303.1 | $0.800 | $242.48 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 34.48 | $0.660 | $22.76 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 303.1 | $0.660 | $200 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.211 | $17.58 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 299.61 | $0.081 | $24.29 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 178.58 | $0.160 | $28.57 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 345.31 | $0.145 | $50 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 257.58 | $0.660 | $170 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.450 | $50 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 253.08 | $0.956 | $241.83 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 60.98 | $0.410 | $25 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 337.79 | $0.259 | $87.52 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.330 | $33 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.328 | $25.92 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.230 | $25 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 376.89 | $0.136 | $51.33 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 337.8 | $0.296 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 253.08 | $0.790 | $200 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 549.19 | $0.364 | $200 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.110 | $25 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 378.62 | $0.132 | $50 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 376.9 | $0.053 | $20 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 272.03 | $0.735 | $200 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes | buy | 127.96 | $0.391 | $50 | Dec 31, 2025 |