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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 330 | $0.550 | $181.5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 407 |
| $0.540 |
| $219.78 |
| Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.90 in December?No | sell | 132.82 | $0.390 | $51.8 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?No | buy | 19 | $0.980 | $18.62 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?No | buy | 5.54 | $0.970 | $5.37 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 55.49 | $0.231 | $12.79 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.90 in December?No | sell | 25 | $0.430 | $10.75 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.179 | $4.48 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Dissenter" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 9.85 | $0.230 | $2.27 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.190 | $22.8 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 12.41 | $0.180 | $2.23 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 81.87 | $0.170 | $13.92 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.200 | $1.25 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?No | buy | 131.48 | $0.410 | $53.91 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?No | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 114.82 | $0.130 | $14.93 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?Yes | sell | 113.1 | $0.990 | $111.97 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?No | buy | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 57.71 | $0.166 | $9.58 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.165 | $22.28 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.159 | $24.12 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.155 | $4.03 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 38.53 | $0.188 | $7.24 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 31.51 | $0.173 | $5.44 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 9?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | sell | 231.12 | $0.610 | $140.98 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 9?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 35.86 | $0.177 | $6.35 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.397 | $17.87 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 10.49 | $0.394 | $4.13 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.166 | $1.66 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.165 | $4.95 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 86.92 | $0.164 | $14.25 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.009 | $12.66 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.005 | $11.25 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Elon" or "Musk" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 57.54 | $0.024 | $1.38 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Meme" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 392.96 | $0.020 | $7.86 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Meme" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 76.08 | $0.019 | $1.45 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.140 | $1.27 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes | buy | 44.13 | $0.130 | $5.74 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 553.28 | $0.010 | $5.53 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Silicon Valley" or "Nerd" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Silicon Valley" or "Nerd" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 52.75 | $0.020 | $1.06 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 49.85 | $0.044 | $2.19 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?Yes | buy | 95.21 | $0.100 | $9.52 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Dec 9, 2025 |