Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 4 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 33.5% on 4 Sep 2025 and the lowest 1.9% on 1 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 12% on 5 Sep 2025. $7.24K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 4 Sep 2025 – 1 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2025 | 33.5% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 231.19 |
| tatted-out | Yes | 174.83 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 132.98 |
| Hennyhenny | Yes | 125 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new song between September 3 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases/remasters, remixes, acoustic versions, re-recordings of previously released songs will not count, only new songs, officially released by Taylor Swift under her name, will qualify toward this market's resolution. Taylor Swift featuring on another artist's song will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-taylor-swift-release-a-new-original-song-by-september-30
| lissartter | Yes | 111.79 |
| Cloudy-Gokart | Yes | 27.78 |
| Violet Vector B233 | Yes | 6 |
| Azure Summit 8914 | Yes | 4.65 |
| Ange22 | Yes | 3.33 |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 0.01 |
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