Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$505.2K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 1, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis
alnecrp	Yes	2.72K	4.0%	$110
0x2fa10Nh18pHp	Yes	2.64K	25.6%	$675
Composed-Mint	Yes	2.36K	42.4%	$1K
polymarket-man	Yes	1.23K	40.6%	$499.74
JMV0	Yes	1.1K	46.0%	$506
richoffpredictions	Yes	1.06K	28.4%	$300
CrushingIt	Yes	1.01K	49.5%	$501.05
Cloon	Yes	766.63	48.9%	$375
moa122	Yes	681.82	44.0%	$300
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	645	0.1%	$0.65
wooolrich	Yes	594.28	33.6%	$199.91
sematic	Yes	561.63	7.2%	$40.49
Icy-Innovation	Yes	544.44	7.3%	$40
DD123123	Yes	540	9.3%	$50.22
356	Yes	515.33	58.2%	$300
beepboopzyx	Yes	510	5.7%	$28.91
Romeo005	Yes	502.62	12.7%	$64.04
Giddy-Bidding	Yes	499.99	31.0%	$155
Fede99	Yes	490.24	40.8%	$200
Rapid Vector 41B5	Yes	481.14	18.7%	$90
JWO	Yes	464.43	43.1%	$200
PithyPear3359	Yes	406.65	1.2%	$5
Unfit-Chuck	Yes	394.15	16.0%	$63.06
xdreee	Yes	366.82	47.9%	$175.57
Woozy-Blocker	Yes	352.51	56.7%	$200
lislow	Yes	331.79	45.2%	$150
Cold070	Yes	307.47	38.0%	$116.84
kamarat	Yes	300	1.0%	$3
uboraan	Yes	298.04	44.7%	$133.35
redduvel	Yes	271.66	47.0%	$127.68
kotlbebop	Yes	270	37.0%	$99.9
qroree5	Yes	263	27.0%	$71.01
Visorcat	Yes	261.06	38.3%	$100
flamongomongo	Yes	259.14	38.6%	$100
Treasured-Spending	Yes	241.37	41.4%	$100
Dismal-Chance	Yes	240	50.0%	$120
tuaosh	Yes	237.67	54.7%	$130
Afraid-Therapist	Yes	227.27	44.0%	$100
eradek	Yes	222.52	44.9%	$100
Fourtrees	Yes	217.59	46.0%	$100
RadarMentions	Yes	217.46	39.8%	$86.49
bettorlife	Yes	217	44.0%	$95.48
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	217	0.1%	$0.22
ag3ntzer0	Yes	214.09	46.7%	$100
Wicked-Adjective	Yes	208.71	55.6%	$116
Fishti	Yes	208.49	54.2%	$113
Violet-Stepaunt	Yes	208	48.1%	$100
Taylorbets	Yes	204.29	20.0%	$40.86
GamblerCultist	Yes	200	51.0%	$102
Unselfish-Tail	Yes	200	3.0%	$6
kolten	Yes	196.22	50.8%	$99.74
T-Bone	Yes	192.53	51.9%	$100
underneath	Yes	190.79	52.4%	$100
Pleasing-Beanie	Yes	188.68	53.0%	$100
TraderSamurai7	Yes	185.94	53.8%	$100
toughtts	Yes	182.37	54.8%	$100
Outrageous-Listening	Yes	169.65	44.2%	$75
billionam	Yes	163.96	54.9%	$90
idokeren	Yes	160	2.5%	$4
Djsaxon	Yes	152.17	46.0%	$70
0xRocket666	Yes	150	0.1%	$0.15
Ricestation	Yes	150	32.8%	$49.2
CalienteToe	Yes	150	20.0%	$30
vbhai	Yes	150	45.6%	$68.36
Colossal-Dynamics	Yes	149.93	60.0%	$89.96
zzh8964	Yes	143.72	34.8%	$50
KabletownIntern	Yes	143.48	27.9%	$40
T2UCryp	Yes	140	55.0%	$77
Andy.crypto	Yes	138.89	36.0%	$50
Unselfish-Lox	Yes	135	22.9%	$30.99
AlvisFred	Yes	130	3.5%	$4.55
MandelWatt	Yes	130	3.5%	$4.55
ProbablyPomPom	Yes	124.99	0.8%	$1
jordankallman	Yes	116.06	43.1%	$50
YoteiGamba	Yes	115.65	30.3%	$35
RandomKing	Yes	111.11	9.0%	$10
Critical-Blush	Yes	110	38.0%	$41.8
Ragged-Blast	Yes	109.09	55.0%	$60
Meaty-Pickax	Yes	104.91	2.9%	$3
ale1996	Yes	101.69	24.6%	$25
sidekicker	Yes	101.62	1.0%	$1
Silver Voyager 7336	Yes	101.08	46.5%	$47
TheRickyBobby	Yes	100	53.6%	$53.57
TENETENET	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
LetThereBeQE1	Yes	100	39.0%	$39
Leftnut15	Yes	100	20.0%	$20
Familiar-Spelt	Yes	100	38.0%	$38
dffc	Yes	100	34.0%	$34
Lunar Beacon 2677	Yes	97.56	4.1%	$4
Crimson Vector F03A	Yes	97	0.1%	$0.1
dogeMusk69	Yes	96.96	51.6%	$50
Jade Harbor B075	Yes	94	0.1%	$0.09
groog	Yes	93.37	42.8%	$40
MichaelScarn	Yes	91.25	54.8%	$50
MALAKLYVAS666	Yes	90.91	55.0%	$50
Mad-Criminal	Yes	90.67	41.9%	$37.98
Miserly-Hurdler	Yes	90.54	55.2%	$50
Little-Saint-James.	Yes	90	22.4%	$20.2
E4C5D4	Yes	87.47	45.7%	$40
Cosmic Voyager 7A6E	Yes	86.05	54.6%	$47
arbus	Yes	85.71	35.0%	$30
robotradex	Yes	85.11	47.0%	$40
Zipar88	Yes	84.88	47.1%	$40
OldFashioned-	Yes	82.11	48.7%	$40
Amber Beacon 9A01	Yes	80.65	6.2%	$5
Svelte-Gasoline	Yes	79.03	40.6%	$32.1
Harmless-Tolerance	Yes	71.44	4.2%	$3
deanfletcher6061	Yes	71.43	14.0%	$10
dumbstupidlame	Yes	71.2	42.3%	$30.12
yolo360	Yes	70.18	57.0%	$40
jesusrocket	Yes	68.82	47.9%	$33
Marsgiraffes	Yes	68.52	14.6%	$10
Cowboy.Bebop	Yes	62.97	31.8%	$20
tuckfrump	Yes	61.05	38.6%	$23.58
damuffinman2.0	Yes	60.15	33.2%	$20
ratskiplaneodrbrbrklem3321455	Yes	59.6	15.1%	$9
CCCCCCC	Yes	59.48	50.4%	$29.98
spearminter	Yes	59.4	33.7%	$20
Tinra	Yes	58.82	34.0%	$20
S888	Yes	58.75	6.2%	$3.64
Uncommon-Custody	Yes	55.89	35.8%	$20
lissartter	Yes	54.66	15.3%	$8.39
byteseeker	Yes	54.29	35.0%	$19
Plungerbull	Yes	54.05	37.0%	$20
almenodera	Yes	52.59	45.6%	$23.98
Grave-Reboot	Yes	51.28	39.0%	$20
Cloudy-Pinkie	Yes	51.22	39.0%	$20
knowshairs	Yes	50	37.0%	$18.5
Dark2Light96	Yes	50	47.0%	$23.5
Kyob	Yes	50	42.8%	$21.4
notright	Yes	48.05	4.1%	$1.97
Complicated-Mailbox	Yes	47.94	52.1%	$25
BugsBunny247	Yes	44.89	44.5%	$20
Phantom309	Yes	44.59	33.6%	$15
BoughtTheTop	Yes	44.22	12.2%	$5.41
Godrax	Yes	44.03	34.1%	$15
okeledokelee	Yes	42.97	46.5%	$20
Bright Beacon B3AF	Yes	41.86	43.0%	$18
Dragao	Yes	41.67	48.0%	$20
dn757657	Yes	41.67	12.0%	$5
Victoryqueen	Yes	41.67	48.0%	$20
Elastic-Button	Yes	41.67	2.4%	$1
Concrete-Sunbonnet	Yes	41.44	48.3%	$20
HelloAnon111	Yes	40.52	49.4%	$20
thnel	Yes	40	23.0%	$9.2
Hasluck	Yes	40	50.0%	$20
kokletka	Yes	40	50.0%	$20
NapoleonBoerewors	Yes	39.22	51.0%	$20
Stable-Ban	Yes	38.85	51.5%	$20
sadovnychyi	Yes	38.46	52.0%	$20
joa0204	Yes	36.14	8.3%	$3
JohnnyIve	Yes	35.53	56.3%	$20
evilbeanx88	Yes	34.36	58.2%	$20
franzr	Yes	34	29.0%	$9.86
Stable-Fishing	Yes	31.94	35.0%	$11.18
Utilized-Discrimination	Yes	30	45.0%	$13.5
Violet Vector B233	Yes	30	39.0%	$11.7
Eutychia	Yes	29.17	17.1%	$5
AccomplishedFeet852	Yes	28.98	45.5%	$13.18
AdiorDior	Yes	28.82	34.7%	$10
yxsolomon	Yes	27.78	18.0%	$5
Every-Trailpatrol	Yes	27.44	18.2%	$5
Old-Fashioned-Toothpaste	Yes	26.32	3.8%	$1
New-Friction	Yes	25.64	39.0%	$10
Several-Railway	Yes	25.64	39.0%	$10
NotSoLucky	Yes	25.59	39.1%	$10
Neon Pioneer CCF7	Yes	25	40.0%	$10
ShawnXu	Yes	24.71	25.5%	$6.3
Average-Sinuosity	Yes	24.67	40.5%	$10
thexo	Yes	24.39	41.0%	$10
759vv7779vg98167	Yes	24.39	41.0%	$10
Moist-Insurgence	Yes	24.39	41.0%	$10
CartoonHug	Yes	24.16	62.1%	$15
Opulent-Latte	Yes	23.86	44.0%	$10.5
Worn-Secretariat	Yes	23.26	4.3%	$1
quanweiduid.eth	Yes	22.73	4.4%	$1
Panthera1993	Yes	22	36.6%	$8.06
TristanWhitaker	Yes	21.35	52.0%	$11.1
xzidanex	Yes	21.28	47.0%	$10
ProphetPeak-983	Yes	21.05	19.0%	$4
HardSanzo	Yes	20.62	9.7%	$2
Trustmebro9	Yes	20.43	37.0%	$7.56
someu18	Yes	20.41	49.0%	$10
willbebetter2026	Yes	20	20.0%	$4
Mezzi	Yes	20	34.0%	$6.8
greenleaf2	Yes	19.46	39.0%	$7.59
thehamburglar	Yes	19.23	52.0%	$10
mezcaline	Yes	18.18	55.0%	$10
Frizzy-Toothpick	Yes	17.65	30.0%	$5.3
tbkp	Yes	17.61	51.1%	$9
Basic-Water	Yes	17.39	46.0%	$8
Scramble27	Yes	17.24	29.0%	$5
vliet	Yes	16.95	59.0%	$10
Knotty-Tentacle	Yes	16.63	9.5%	$1.58
98ratewinner	Yes	15.63	16.0%	$2.5
baugusto	Yes	15.63	32.0%	$5
Buoyant-Fratricide	Yes	15.63	32.0%	$5
guzen	Yes	15.38	6.5%	$1
rocketcrypto	Yes	15	1.0%	$0.15
Argona0x	Yes	15	40.0%	$6
triklozoid	Yes	14.99	0.1%	$0.01
MysticMath	Yes	14.71	34.0%	$5
freeloser	Yes	14.29	7.0%	$1
VyVx	Yes	13.55	31.0%	$4.2
specialk67	Yes	13.16	38.0%	$5
Ivory Scout 252F	Yes	12.82	39.0%	$5
Cold-Saloon	Yes	12.82	39.0%	$5
am2025	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
fholse	Yes	12.5	50.0%	$6.25
wambo1	Yes	12.28	57.0%	$7
Personal-Grandpa	Yes	12.28	20.0%	$2.46
hnrgggg	Yes	12	50.0%	$6
psykopunk	Yes	11.63	43.0%	$5
Blaring-Attraction	Yes	11.36	44.0%	$5
DreamPwner	Yes	11.11	18.0%	$2
Ripe-Miniskirt	Yes	11.11	18.0%	$2
0mnipotent	Yes	11	48.0%	$5.28
vars	Yes	10.68	56.0%	$5.98
gldi	Yes	10.53	47.5%	$5
Roasted-Ankle	Yes	10.53	38.0%	$4
MRDISS	Yes	10.53	19.0%	$2
Golden Horizon 027E	Yes	10.4	48.1%	$5
ZMMD2000	Yes	10	42.0%	$4.2
3QHP	Yes	10	55.0%	$5.5
Qualified-Dwell	Yes	10	15.0%	$1.5
KrabbyPatty	Yes	10	30.0%	$3
Misty Orbit B6FE	Yes	10	50.0%	$5
devArk28.	Yes	9.26	54.0%	$5
TonyMolina4164	Yes	9	13.0%	$1.17
Frozen-Conditioner	Yes	8.5	40.0%	$3.4
Awful-Herring	Yes	8	44.0%	$3.52
Bright Signal 14DE	Yes	8	0.1%	$0.01
opelus.eth	Yes	7.69	39.0%	$3
Infinite-Mapping	Yes	7.65	17.0%	$1.3
whoami333	Yes	7.32	41.0%	$3
epiw	Yes	6.67	15.0%	$1
Pitiful-Blackboard	Yes	6.25	16.0%	$1
Prime-Checking	Yes	5.88	34.0%	$2
Aary420	Yes	5.56	54.0%	$3
nagletti	Yes	5	2.4%	$0.12
MeganSimpson6814	Yes	5	25.0%	$1.25
Parallel-Souvenir	Yes	5	33.0%	$1.65
kaladino2	Yes	4.99	43.0%	$2.15
Normal-Specialty	Yes	4.76	21.0%	$1
Corrupt-Ravioli	Yes	4.55	22.0%	$1
Remarkable-Celebrity	Yes	4.35	23.0%	$1
Wry-Underpass	Yes	4.35	23.0%	$1
StephanieNelson8982	Yes	4	28.0%	$1.12
MariaBarker2734	No	4	87.0%	$3.48
JustinBoone6551	No	4	87.0%	$3.48
PeeVee57	Yes	3.77	53.0%	$2
ShadowWind	Yes	3.24	46.0%	$1.49
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	3.07	0.6%	$0.02
Weepy-Web	Yes	2.86	35.0%	$1
hak83280	Yes	2.63	38.0%	$1
PMDIANBAO	Yes	2.63	38.0%	$1
Frilly-Watch	Yes	2.5	40.0%	$1
Velto	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Frivolous-Promotion	Yes	2.08	48.0%	$1
CQ256	Yes	2.04	49.0%	$1
Limited-Default	Yes	2.04	49.0%	$1
goubin	Yes	2	15.0%	$0.3
Expensive-Candidate	Yes	2	50.0%	$1
BrittanyMoore5419	Yes	2	13.0%	$0.26
JustinSanchez4516	No	2	87.0%	$1.74
TusharG7744xsY1	No	1.57	88.0%	$1.38
Cosmic Meteor D0DD	No	1.56	64.0%	$1
KyleRobinson5000	Yes	1	30.0%	$0.3
JulianWilliams6111	No	1	87.0%	$0.87
orriannafizz	Yes	0.65	15.5%	$0.1
Crimson Atlas CD0E	Yes	0.43	38.6%	$0.16
25oodksmsss09	Yes	0.27	0.3%	$0
oak	Yes	0.11	16.4%	$0.02

273 of 273 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
MariaBarker2734	$4
JustinBoone6551	$4
JustinSanchez4516	$2

Analytics