Latest trade
Mar 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:16 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 18 settled positions.
Cold-Saloon is down $290.04 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Mar 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:16 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 38 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Jan 6, 2026 UTC to Mar 12, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.190 | $0.38 | -$1.62 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-20 00:17 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 20:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 20:16 UTC
polymarket positions
19 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-20 00:17 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $118.28 and losing ones cost $35.6 across 18 settled positions. 61.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $39.08 on “Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?” (Yes); the largest loss, $10 on “Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios” (Sabalenka).
Its most recent trade on record was on 12 Mar 2026. It has traded 73 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.51 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 35.71 |
| $0.140 |
| $0.12 |
| -$4.88 |
| sell |
| 60.6 |
| $0.181 |
| $10.97 |
| Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.29 | $0.280 | $11 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.370 | $25.34 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.18 | $0.320 | $7.1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 138.56 | $0.130 | $18.01 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.92 | $0.370 | $7 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 101.3 | $0.170 | $17.22 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.600 | $1.67 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tesla dip to $405 in January?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tesla reach $495 in January?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 41.88 | $0.239 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-08?Yes | buy | 31.72 | $0.631 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.240 | $4 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 66.61 | $0.075 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 101.31 | $0.130 | $13.17 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 178.57 | $0.048 | $8.57 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Yes | sell | 287.43 | $0.016 | $4.6 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 8?Yes | buy | 65.7 | $0.093 | $6.11 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 8?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 7?Yes | buy | 19.06 | $0.052 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 7?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6?Up | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 6?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 6?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 78.7 | $0.064 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.056 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 287.43 | $0.017 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.