Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.760 | $3.95 | -$3.65 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 6 |
| $0.180 |
| $0.35 |
| -$0.74 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.760 |
| $7.6 |
| Jun 1, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.700 | $1.32 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.750 | $1.13 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
No US strike on Syria in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.110 | $0.41 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will the New England Patriots win the AFC East?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.843 | $1.83 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.580 | $6.1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.960 | $1.5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 9.25 | $0.280 | $2.59 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.870 | $1.2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Democratic sweep?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 1.86 | $0.988 | $1.84 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | sell | 5.05 | $0.016 | $0.08 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 31?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.270 | $1.93 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Apple say "Streaming" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will the New England Patriots win the AFC East?Yes | buy | 2.18 | $0.459 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.791 | $4 | Oct 29, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |