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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? | No | 39 | $0.710 | $37.05 | +$9.36 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?No | sell | 90 | $0.800 | $72 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 25 |
| $0.461 |
| $13.38 |
| +$1.84 |
 Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 3 | $0.978 | $2.97 | +$0.03 |
 Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 1 | $0.940 | $0.96 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 1 | $0.630 | $0.25 | -$0.39 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 1 | $0.680 | $0.16 | -$0.52 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.440 | $0.13 | -$0.31 |
| sell |
| 452 |
| $0.200 |
| $90.4 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 502 | $0.200 | $100.4 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.800 | $12.8 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.190 | $3.04 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | sell | 585 | $0.670 | $391.95 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | buy | 585 | $0.690 | $403.65 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No | sell | 459 | $0.478 | $219.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 967 | $0.310 | $299.77 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?No | buy | 106 | $0.700 | $74.2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?No | sell | 79 | $0.670 | $52.93 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?No | buy | 79 | $0.680 | $53.72 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 221 | $0.770 | $170.17 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 221 | $0.780 | $172.38 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?No | sell | 292 | $0.710 | $207.32 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | sell | 413 | $0.240 | $99.12 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?No | buy | 292 | $0.740 | $216.08 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?No | sell | 326 | $0.920 | $299.92 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No | buy | 459 | $0.382 | $175.34 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win the Super Bowl?No | sell | 228 | $0.840 | $191.52 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Syria next?No | sell | 154 | $0.910 | $140.2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?No | buy | 326 | $0.890 | $290.14 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 98 | $0.790 | $77.42 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?No | sell | 517 | $0.830 | $429.11 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?No | buy | 517 | $0.820 | $423.94 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 327 | $0.160 | $52.32 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | buy | 413 | $0.300 | $123.9 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.140 | $5.32 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027?No | sell | 151 | $0.310 | $46.81 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the Super Bowl?No | buy | 228 | $0.860 | $196.08 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.150 | $5.7 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | sell | 416 | $0.750 | $312 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Another Elon baby by June 30?No | sell | 229 | $0.900 | $206.1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Syria next?No | buy | 154 | $0.880 | $135.52 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?No | sell | 198 | $0.460 | $91.08 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | buy | 416 | $0.750 | $312 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 384 | $0.730 | $280.32 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 135 | $0.150 | $20.25 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 327 | $0.160 | $52.32 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?No | buy | 151 | $0.290 | $43.79 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 135 | $0.160 | $21.6 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | buy | 98 | $0.780 | $76.44 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?No | buy | 384 | $0.750 | $288 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 125 | $0.340 | $42.5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 55 | $0.350 | $19.25 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | sell | 288 | $0.607 | $174.82 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 488 | $0.160 | $78.08 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | buy | 488 | $0.160 | $78.08 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Another Elon baby by June 30?No | buy | 229 | $0.820 | $187.78 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?No | sell | 758 | $0.740 | $560.92 | Jan 8, 2026 |