Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 405.03 | $0.157 | $63.59 | Jan 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 222.52 |
| $0.449 |
| $100 |
| Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Yes | buy | 314.64 | $0.238 | $75 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.450 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?No | sell | 147.05 | $0.900 | $132.35 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 170.82 | $0.585 | $100 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on November 9?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 9?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on November 14 2025?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.5 on November 14 2025?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?No | sell | 106.83 | $0.969 | $103.52 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 107.52 | $0.976 | $104.94 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 116.27 | $0.959 | $111.49 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?No | buy | 106.83 | $0.936 | $100 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 108.58 | $0.921 | $100 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 108.58 | $0.921 | $100 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?No | buy | 35.21 | $0.710 | $25 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.940 | $200 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.830 | $33.2 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.780 | $58.5 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.780 | $31.2 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.780 | $70.2 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | sell | 263 | $0.998 | $262.47 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?Yes | sell | 136.98 | $0.996 | $136.43 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.570 | $150 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will the election be called on Nov 5?Yes | sell | 197.86 | $0.120 | $23.74 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.420 | $100 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 271 | $0.738 | $200 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will the election be called on Nov 5?Yes | buy | 197.87 | $0.253 | $50 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 352.11 | $0.071 | $25 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 241.94 | $0.310 | $75 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 326.09 | $0.230 | $75 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 205.88 | $0.170 | $35 | Nov 5, 2024 |