Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 21 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 139 daily closes on record from 21 Jun 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 38.5% on 27 Oct 2024 and the lowest 11.5% on 22 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 38.5% on 27 Oct 2024. $156.13K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 8:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 139 points, 21 Jun 2024 – 6 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2024 | 25.5% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 20.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| buffalu1234 | Yes | 1.27K |
| auselessone | Yes | 1.13K |
| WhitSterling | Yes | 1.11K |
This market will resolve to yes if the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have all called the U.S. Presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-presidential-election-be-called-on-nov-5
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1.09K |
| Montemorcey | Yes | 692.81 |
| KamaLover | Yes | 436.06 |
| Themaninthetower | Yes | 370.98 |
| retroxbt | Yes | 300.06 |
| basilroll | Yes | 299.99 |
| Violet Vector 4564 | Yes | 117.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
