Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 29.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 5 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2024 to 20 Jan 2025, the highest close was 47.5% on 20 Dec 2024 and the lowest 14.5% on 5 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 29.5% on 20 Jan 2025. $3.12M traded over the market's life.
154 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 9:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 5 Dec 2024 – 20 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2024 | 45.0% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Player161 | No | 442.22K |
| jbear | No | 125.98K |
| Abahshdudhw050005000500bahaudhdb | No | 16.96K |
| malaposta | No | 14.32K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Brian "Jim" Biden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve by Joseph Biden, before the time the next presidential inauguration starts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the pardon, commutation, or reprieve must be issued by Joseph Biden within his first presidential term. If it becomes impossible for Joseph Biden issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-biden-pardon
| DegenerateDog | No | 13.4K |
| madkkee | No | 5.32K |
| Cjsjnsnfeidbbcd | No | 4.08K |
| Fartard | No | 2K |
| sompek | No | 1.23K |
| David033 | No | 1.09K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
