Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 8 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 248 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2024 to 10 Nov 2024, the highest close was 49.5% on 15 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 0.8% on 7 Nov 2024. $5.18M traded over the market's life.
490 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 10, 9:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 248 points, 8 Mar 2024 – 10 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2024 | 44.5% |
| 10 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 667.57K |
| markitzero | Yes | 85.45K |
| Cryptoechein | Yes | 55.79K |
This is a market on who will win the presidential election in Arizona.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arizona-presidential-election-winner
| -LeeroyJenkins- | Yes | 27.46K |
| KamaLover | Yes | 22.52K |
| Lockyer | Yes | 21.54K |
| wallet2 | Yes | 21.36K |
| TNB | Yes | 19.23K |
| Wolf987 | Yes | 10.4K |
| SecretFourteenthKey | Yes | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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