Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 38.02 | $0.680 | $25.85 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.104 |
| $10.4 |
| Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | sell | 969.16 | $0.981 | $951.02 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)Yes | sell | 81.08 | $0.810 | $65.67 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 84.57 | $0.946 | $80 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)Yes | buy | 81.08 | $0.740 | $60 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Google reach $395 in December?No | sell | 115 | $0.990 | $113.87 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 23.71 | $0.986 | $23.38 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.939 | $93.9 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.026 | $2.6 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?No | buy | 24 | $0.133 | $3.19 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 19?No | buy | 38 | $0.570 | $21.66 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No | sell | 245.98 | $0.380 | $93.47 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No | buy | 108.76 | $0.420 | $45.68 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.638 | $31.91 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Bonnie Blue leaves Indonesia by December 31?No | buy | 130 | $0.028 | $3.64 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 150 | $0.400 | $60 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?No | buy | 34.13 | $0.879 | $30 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETDown | buy | 4 | $0.340 | $1.36 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 30 | $0.380 | $11.4 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETUp | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.23K | $0.009 | $47.07 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?No | buy | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?No | buy | 125 | $0.060 | $7.5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.044 | $1.32 | Dec 11, 2025 |