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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.560 | $112 | May 25, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.300 |
| $60.08 |
| May 25, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | May 25, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.057 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.057 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.071 | $100 | May 22, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes | buy | 123.21 | $0.041 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes | buy | 195.02 | $0.026 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | sell | 300 | $0.852 | $255.55 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.136 | $40.87 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.160 | $48.09 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals | sell | 984 | $0.460 | $452.64 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 968.2 | $0.470 | $455.05 | Apr 14, 2026 |
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles DodgersNew York Mets | sell | 982 | $0.390 | $382.98 | Apr 13, 2026 |
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles DodgersNew York Mets | buy | 964 | $0.400 | $385.6 | Apr 13, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.993 | $70.92 | Apr 8, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.991 | $123.88 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 227.39 | $0.260 | $59.12 | Apr 6, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Apr 6, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.280 | $56 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 208.6 | $0.600 | $125.21 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 199.97 | $0.370 | $73.99 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.500 | $100 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 129.55 | $0.480 | $62.18 | Mar 21, 2026 |
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.260 | $39 | Mar 21, 2026 |
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 109.72 | $0.720 | $78.97 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.007 | $1.4 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.011 | $0.65 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.060 | $12 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.200 | $20 | Mar 11, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.120 | $24 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?No | sell | 175 | $0.226 | $39.57 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.331 | $66.2 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.520 | $104.05 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 179.99 | $0.600 | $107.99 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.670 | $134.01 | Mar 11, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 41.56 | $0.370 | $15.38 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.360 | $54 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.360 | $27.03 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.370 | $27.75 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Mar 6, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.500 | $200 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No | sell | 186.66 | $0.590 | $110.21 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Mar 4, 2026 |