Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 227.42 | $0.889 | $196.15 | -$6.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.900 |
| $187 |
| +$7 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.480 | $174 | +$78 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5 | $0.810 | $4.6 | +$0.55 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | Yes | 166.54 | $0.056 | $4 | -$5.33 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 3.55 | $0.043 | $3.04 | +$2.89 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 19.46 | $0.560 | $1.75 | -$9.15 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1.49 | $0.720 | $1.47 | +$0.4 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 0.99 | $0.790 | $0.98 | +$0.19 |
 Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 0.84 | $0.202 | $0.79 | +$0.62 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 0.79 | $0.870 | $0.64 | -$0.05 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.64 | $0.872 | $0.61 | +$0.06 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.174 | $0.47 | +$0.29 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 0.55 | $0.970 | $0.46 | -$0.07 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 0.98 | $0.335 | $0.45 | +$0.12 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.54 | $0.858 | $0.44 | -$0.02 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 0.33 | $0.959 | $0.33 | +$0.01 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 0.9 | $0.240 | $0.12 | -$0.09 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 0.9 | $0.104 | $0.08 | -$0.01 |
 Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.100 | $0.05 | -$0.04 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 0.19 | $0.955 | $0.01 | -$0.17 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.58 | $0.035 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 0.17 | $0.247 | $0.01 | -$0.03 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 0.66 | $0.014 | $0.01 | -$0 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5 | $0.007 | $0 | -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 26.32 |
| $0.038 |
| $1 |
| Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 9?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jan 7, 2026 |