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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 40.39 | $0.495 | $9.9 | -$10.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 138.21 |
| $0.190 |
| $8.98 |
| -$17.28 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.650 | $8.08 | -$1.92 |
 Will Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $7.25 | -$2.75 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $7.22 | -$2.78 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | 213.15 | $0.047 | $6.07 | -$3.93 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.070 | $3.93 | -$1.07 |
| buy |
| 71.43 |
| $0.070 |
| $5 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by August 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | buy | 213.15 | $0.047 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.081 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.380 | $25 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.040 | $6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Theo James announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.035 | $2 | May 19, 2026 |
 Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 72.46 | $0.069 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 42.37 | $0.118 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 44.02 | $0.114 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.090 | $9.09 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will David Bailey be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No | buy | 26.65 | $0.375 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 140.64 | $0.110 | $15.47 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 46.87 | $0.330 | $15.47 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 17.56 | $0.741 | $13.01 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 41.84 | $0.550 | $23.01 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 103.59 | $0.700 | $72.51 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 77.66 | $0.998 | $77.5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 138.21 | $0.190 | $26.26 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.320 | $15 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 77.67 | $0.780 | $60.58 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.007 | $3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 41.85 | $0.358 | $15 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 40.39 | $0.495 | $20 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.992 | $31.99 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.027 | $2 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 36.21 | $0.580 | $21 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Jan 29, 2026 |