Analytics
Resolved No on 23 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 6 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 6 May 2026 to 23 May 2026, the highest close was 89.5% on 21 May 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 23 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 89 points down, to 0.6% on 22 May 2026. $184.87K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 24, 4:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 6 May 2026 – 23 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 May 2026 | 56.5% |
| 23 May 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wl-005 | Yes | 11.4K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 3K |
| LukeGamma | Yes | 2K |
| LukeDelta | Yes | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-senate-pass-a-reconciliation-bill-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| singularityman | Yes | 1.01K |
| Knotty-Implementation | Yes | 1.01K |
| GUINESS123 | Yes | 958 |
| norealtime | Yes | 847 |
| Somber-Zephyr | Yes | 654.86 |
| Unconscious-Controversy | Yes | 586.88 |
