Analytics
Resolved No on 27 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.2%. Yes opened at 16% on 11 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 303 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2025 to 27 May 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 89% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.9% on 27 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 69 points up, to 89% on 5 Mar 2026. $4.11M traded over the market's life.
654 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 28, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 303 points, 11 Jul 2025 – 27 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2025 | 16.0% |
| 27 May 2026 | 2.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 442.13K |
| wan123 | Yes | 95.24K |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/texas-republican-senate-primary-winner
| Yes |
| 48.03K |
| jocpolitic | Yes | 23.11K |
| CaballoBravo | Yes | 20K |
| Kickstand7 | Yes | 14.42K |
| BreadGet | Yes | 13.79K |
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN | Yes | 7.15K |
| ethBELIVER | Yes | 6.29K |
| mountaindewd | Yes | 5.88K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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