Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 375.62K | $0.500 | $285.28K | +$97.47K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.070 | $3.76 | Jul 14, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 375.62K |
| $0.500 |
| $90.34K |
| -$97.47K |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 20.53K | $0.339 | $19.45K | +$12.49K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 21.22K | $0.210 | $2.65K | -$1.8K |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 15.86K | $0.207 | $2.14K | -$1.14K |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.3K | $0.478 | $1.23K | +$606.39 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 618.82 | $0.500 | $310.96 | +$1.55 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 618.82 | $0.500 | $307.86 | -$1.55 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 23 | $0.800 | $21.74 | +$3.34 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.211 | $0.01 | -$2.11 |
| buy |
| 40.95K |
| $0.070 |
| $2.87K |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 58.73K | $0.070 | $4.11K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 64.38K | $0.890 | $57.3K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 98.52K | $0.890 | $87.68K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.15K | $0.880 | $38.85K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5K | $0.636 | $3.18K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.99K | $0.630 | $5.04K | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 6.05K | $0.218 | $1.32K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 250.63 | $0.659 | $165.14 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 25.39 | $0.006 | $0.15 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.020 | $0.58 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 16.94K | $0.014 | $235.42 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 374 | $0.020 | $7.48 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 24.23 | $0.017 | $0.41 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 2.29K | $0.013 | $29.79 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No | sell | 5K | $0.479 | $2.39K | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 408.21 | $0.018 | $7.35 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.016 | $0.72 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 256.96 | $0.019 | $4.88 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.018 | $0.09 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.015 | $6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.015 | $3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.011 | $0.44 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.017 | $27.32 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.013 | $14.57 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 758.68 | $0.480 | $364.17 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.54K | $0.774 | $7.38K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 299.59 | $0.720 | $215.7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.39K | $0.760 | $2.58K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.3K | $0.750 | $9.98K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.56K | $0.756 | $17.06K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.2K | $0.812 | $5.85K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.45K | $0.748 | $5.57K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.49K | $0.450 | $5.62K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.98K | $0.250 | $2.74K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.5 | $0.230 | $24.74 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.11K | $0.256 | $1.05K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | sell | 2.51K | $0.044 | $110.37 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | sell | 2.47K | $0.049 | $121.13 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | sell | 3.34K | $0.070 | $233.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | buy | 2.57K | $0.110 | $282.95 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.19K | $0.310 | $2.54K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.16K | $0.291 | $11.41K | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 2.33K | $0.920 | $2.15K | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 29.62K | $0.920 | $27.25K | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.37K | $0.870 | $4.67K | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.55K | $0.860 | $1.33K | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 198.99 | $0.837 | $166.55 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.13K | $0.840 | $12.71K | Jun 9, 2026 |