Latest trade
Jan 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:36 AM UTC.
Analytics
TonyMolina4164 is down $61.53 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:36 AM UTC.
$4.06 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 23 markets; 50.0% were buys. They run from Jan 15, 2026 UTC to Jan 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | sell | 12 | $0.140 | $1.68 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-16 00:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 11:36 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 11:36 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-16 00:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $200.67 and losing ones cost $136.61 across the latest 50 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $38.63 on “XRP Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET” (Up); the largest loss, $39.2 on “Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Jan 2026. It has traded 101 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 21 |
| $0.090 |
| $1.89 |
| Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 12 | $0.140 | $1.68 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 24 | $0.110 | $2.64 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?No | sell | 12 | $0.230 | $2.76 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?No | sell | 11 | $0.830 | $9.13 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?No | sell | 19 | $0.830 | $15.77 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?No | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.120 | $1.68 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.410 | $3.69 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?No | sell | 22 | $0.830 | $18.26 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?No | sell | 13 | $0.830 | $10.79 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will André Ventura win the first round by less than 2%?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.180 | $1.98 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?No | buy | 35 | $0.850 | $29.75 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.270 | $2.97 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?No | buy | 12 | $0.240 | $2.88 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?No | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.630 | $1.89 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?No | sell | 12 | $0.130 | $1.56 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Shah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No | sell | 15 | $0.130 | $1.95 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.120 | $1.92 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.610 | $4.88 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No | sell | 12 | $0.702 | $8.42 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?No | sell | 16 | $0.700 | $11.2 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.700 | $8.4 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.610 | $2.44 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No | buy | 12 | $0.899 | $10.79 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.150 | $2.4 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?No | buy | 12 | $0.130 | $1.56 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Shah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No | buy | 17 | $0.890 | $15.13 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.120 | $1.68 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 11 | $0.370 | $4.07 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 22 | $0.370 | $8.14 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.860 | $30.96 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will André Ventura win the first round by at least 4%?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.170 | $5.61 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.298 | $5.36 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.298 | $5.66 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.298 | $6.85 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.180 | $2.88 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.101 | $1.92 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.101 | $2.02 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.101 | $1.82 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.220 | $1.54 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.140 | $1.12 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.880 | $30.8 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will André Ventura win the first round by at least 4%?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.160 | $5.28 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.370 | $12.21 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.