Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 69% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 29 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 29 Jan 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 25 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 65 points up, to 98.5% on 28 Jan 2026. $176.49K traded over the market's life.
138 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 4, 4:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 29 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 69.0% |
| 29 Jan 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mixed-Affair | No | 2.31K |
| Vishalb | No | 2.25K |
| gaspe | No | 2.15K |
| Advanced-Ink | No | 2.14K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast reaches or exceeds 150,000 Iranian toman (equivalent to 1,500,000 Iranian rials) at any point between market creation and January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the January 31, 2026, exchange rate data is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-usd-reach-1pt5m-iranian-rials-by-january-31
| These-Dhow | No | 1.69K |
| LukeGamma | No | 1.5K |
| Astucefx | No | 726.58 |
| Single-Fiddle | No | 689.5 |
| chrzanu | No | 500 |
| yimu | No | 500 |
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