Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.9%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 94 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 29 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.9% on 29 Mar 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 29 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 62% on 2 Jan 2026. $487K traded over the market's life.
192 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 8:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 98.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 83.31K |
| NadiiaKav | Yes | 705.98 |
| allen111 | No | 431.03 |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-march
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 398.97 |
| Wry-Causeway | No | 253.43 |
| MartySupreme123 | No | 208.32 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 199.99 |
| 5atka | No | 197.99 |
| echostreet | No | 186.84 |
| ragerunner | No | 171.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
