Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 7 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 55% on 8 Jan 2026 and the low 0.1% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 23.5% on 13 Jan 2026. $39.14K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 54 points · 7 Jan 2026 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pilaf | Yes | 714.29 |
| UknownUnknowns | Yes | 706.55 |
| jjrrpp | Yes | 249.97 |
| xlefgerx | Yes | 215.98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UfQHy4mVcBo
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-12
| Square-Ceremony | Yes | 166.36 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 149.99 |
| Dazzling-Pelt | Yes | 120.44 |
| Lawful-Clerk | Yes | 105.29 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Idealistic-Tatami | Yes | 91.19 |
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