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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 94.79 | $0.560 | $12.8 | -$40.28 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | buy | 94.79 | $0.211 | $20 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 69.44 |
| $0.360 |
| $6.25 |
| -$18.75 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 200 | $0.250 | $0.9 | -$49.1 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 134.46 | $0.297 | $0.07 | -$39.93 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes| sell |
| 57.14 |
| $0.346 |
| $19.77 |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 63.55 | $0.965 | $61.33 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 63.56 | $0.944 | $60 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 134.46 | $0.297 | $40 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 94.79 | $0.560 | $53.08 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)Gaethje | sell | 60.6 | $0.440 | $26.66 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)Gaethje | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Yadong | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Yadong | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Yadong | sell | 28 | $0.700 | $19.6 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)Silva | sell | 29.85 | $0.999 | $29.82 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Yadong | buy | 28 | $0.350 | $9.8 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lewis | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)Silva | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)Silva | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)Silva | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Yes | buy | 28.36 | $0.705 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 32.96 | $0.758 | $25 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?No | buy | 55.43 | $0.902 | $50 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 62.97 | $0.318 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.063 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 183.03 | $0.546 | $100 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Stolen" or "Steal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" 7+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?No | buy | 18.8 | $0.532 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?No | buy | 17.26 | $0.579 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 57.64 | $0.885 | $51 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 69.44 | $0.360 | $25 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Another Canada election called in 2025?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.995 | $5.58 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.992 | $5.83 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 85 | $0.233 | $19.79 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.881 | $15.19 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 37.73 | $0.540 | $20.37 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | sell | 33.89 | $0.892 | $30.24 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?No | sell | 61.34 | $0.997 | $61.16 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 65.95 | $0.982 | $64.76 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 50.78 | $0.197 | $10 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 55.13 | $0.181 | $10 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | buy | 121.11 | $0.826 | $100 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Sep 18, 2025 |