Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50 | $0.022 | $1.48 | +$0.38 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.520 | $0.57 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 80 |
| $0.025 |
| $1.24 |
| -$0.76 |
| sell |
| 15 |
| $0.100 |
| $1.5 |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7 | $0.250 | $1.75 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.020 | $0.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETDown | buy | 9.76 | $0.330 | $3.22 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 19.38 | $0.510 | $9.88 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.77 | $0.315 | $3.08 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp | sell | 9.85 | $0.270 | $2.66 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.71 | $0.400 | $3.88 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.170 | $1.19 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.680 | $4.76 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown | sell | 14.27 | $0.010 | $0.14 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 14.26 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 24.93 | $0.080 | $1.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETDown | buy | 9.5 | $0.510 | $4.84 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.150 | $10.5 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.89 | $0.290 | $1.42 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | sell | 4.92 | $0.100 | $0.49 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.85 | $0.460 | $2.23 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | sell | 4.93 | $0.240 | $1.18 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.88 | $0.330 | $1.61 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | sell | 9.86 | $0.150 | $1.48 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 9.73 | $0.360 | $3.5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETDown | sell | 4.92 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 4.85 | $0.470 | $2.28 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | sell | 4.99 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 9.7 | $0.440 | $4.27 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.992 | $19.84 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.130 | $0.65 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 9.69 | $0.490 | $4.75 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.020 | $0.54 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 143.81 | $0.010 | $1.44 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 12.51 | $0.370 | $4.63 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | sell | 92.95 | $0.131 | $12.15 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.030 | $0.15 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | sell | 4.01 | $0.990 | $3.97 | Jan 29, 2026 |