Latest trade
Jul 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:16 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
MichaelScarn is down $275.59 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Jul 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:16 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 20 trades covered 18 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Nov 16, 2025 UTC to Jul 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.120 | $7.29 | -$42.71 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 68.48 | $0.395 | $27.05 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-23 13:21 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 20:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
20 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 20:16 UTC
polymarket positions
3 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-23 13:21 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
The largest loss was $15.41 on “Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Jul 2026. It has traded 18 markets. Its open positions are worth $7.29 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 92.59 |
| $0.540 |
| $50 |
| Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?Yes | buy | 278.82 | $0.036 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 91.25 | $0.548 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?Yes | buy | 967.74 | $0.031 | $30 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 175.78 | $0.057 | $10 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?No | sell | 196.07 | $0.024 | $4.68 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.003 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?No | sell | 422.56 | $0.673 | $284.59 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will the next Dutch government be another combination?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.029 | $2 | Nov 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of November?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?No | buy | 196.08 | $0.051 | $10 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?No | buy | 422.56 | $0.710 | $300 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.