Latest trade
Jul 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:38 AM UTC.
Analytics
Aagars is down $52.67 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:38 AM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 39 trades covered 32 markets; 89.7% were buys. They run from Jun 23, 2025 UTC to Jul 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.240 | $0.69 | -$2.31 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 8.82 | $0.680 | $6 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-18 18:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 03:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
39 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 03:38 UTC
polymarket positions
13 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-18 18:07 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $26.34 and losing ones cost $26.87 across 11 settled positions. 72.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $11.27 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $17.88 on “Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Jul 2026. It has traded 32 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.69 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 21.84 |
| $0.402 |
| $8.78 |
| Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.99 | $0.143 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 9?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.290 | $4 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 9?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Sep 19, 2025 UTC |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Sep 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Sep 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Sep 19, 2025 UTC |
 More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Sep 19, 2025 UTC |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?No | sell | 12.04 | $0.940 | $11.32 | Sep 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will LeBron James be traded this offseason?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.240 | $4 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
 Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?Yes | buy | 32.42 | $0.031 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
 Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?No | sell | 6.77 | $0.994 | $6.73 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 60.73 | $0.002 | $0.12 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 41.38 | $0.290 | $12 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
| Iran Nuke in 2025?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.840 | $8 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.44 | $0.360 | $7 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 11.48 | $0.610 | $7 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 19.35 | $0.310 | $6 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.