Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 26% on 3 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 27.5% on 16 Jul 2025 and the low 0.1% on 3 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 27.5% on 16 Jul 2025. $33.43K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 8:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 93 points · 3 Jul 2025 – 3 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2025 | 26.0% |
| 3 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Eminent-Temporary | Yes | 2.86K |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 1.39K |
| LoveLogan | Yes | 278.94 |
| BaristaDarte | Yes | 214.29 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James is traded by the Los Angeles Lakers to any other NBA team by October 1, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If LeBron James is involved in a sign-and-trade to another team, this market will resolve to "Yes". If LeBron James opts out of his contract and signs with a new team, but is not traded, this market will resolve to "No". If LeBron James retires, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers or LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-lebron-james-be-traded-this-offseason
| Amber Tide 8D60 | Yes | 185.46 |
| bingbongbrit | Yes | 161 |
| ilovebad | Yes | 149.23 |
| Utilized-Tug | Yes | 137.5 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 132.99 |
| Jameslyy | Yes | 125 |
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