Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 64% on 26 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 79% on 11 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 21.5% on 17 Sep 2025. $127.5K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 8:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 26 Aug 2025 – 1 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2025 | 64.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wisser | Yes | 6.58K |
| exothetajunkie | Yes | 1.07K |
| Newshound | Yes | 340.38 |
| trousaz | Yes | 240.55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between August 25 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. Only the imposition of sanctions on Russia by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Russia (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Russia unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/more-eu-sanctions-on-russia-by-september-30
| Holzlump | Yes | 156.25 |
| GeorgeDroid6000 | Yes | 150 |
| ciaociao23 | Yes | 142.62 |
| inasyrov | Yes | 124.32 |
| krd777 | Yes | 108.7 |
| fuwufuwa | Yes | 100 |
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