Analytics
exothetajunkie has made $22.76K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 1.74K | $0.840 | $1.6K | +$139.22 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 2 | 1 | 0.0% | $2.2K |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-16 20:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
16 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 02:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 02:13 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-16 20:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $50.68K and losing ones cost $2.98K across the latest 50 settled positions. 90% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.79K on “Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1K on “Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?” (Yes).
It has traded 652 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.1K across 16 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 623.41 |
| $0.692 |
| $467.56 |
| +$36.24 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 501.56 | $0.387 | $420.06 | +$225.73 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | $0.790 | $382.5 | -$12.5 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | No | 451.9 | $0.673 | $352.48 | +$48.53 |
 Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 244.7 | $0.669 | $227.57 | +$63.86 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 178.25 | $0.690 | $165.77 | +$42.78 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 136.48 | $0.770 | $132.18 | +$27.14 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 120.05 | $0.336 | $118.55 | +$78.2 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | No | 121.03 | $0.372 | $101.54 | +$56.52 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.19K | $0.302 | $30.71 | -$631.21 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 1.52K | $0.358 | $28.06 | -$515.82 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 906.91 | $0.294 | $25.85 | -$240.98 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.07K | $0.272 | $21.84 | -$268.43 |
| US recession by end of 2027? | No | 25.07 | $0.640 | $16.3 | +$0.25 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 436.98 | $0.004 | $5.46 | +$3.75 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
