Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 39.5%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 4 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 114 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2025 to 28 Feb 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 17 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 36.5% on 16 Jan 2026. $8.22M traded over the market's life.
754 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 114 points, 4 Nov 2025 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2025 | 19.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wan123 | No | 102.72K |
| Extra-Large-Begonia | No | 47.79K |
| fourfive | No | 43.83K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-june-30-747
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 13.81K |
| yingyingying777 | No | 12.4K |
| oak | No | 9.72K |
| Tradman | No | 8K |
| Aurelius7 | No | 7.16K |
| mrsatoshik | No | 7.12K |
| zizuoshi | No | 6.9K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
