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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.022 | $45 | Feb 28, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 5.08K |
| $0.020 |
| $100 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.28K | $0.039 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.017 | $20.21 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.075 | $6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.117 | $5.85 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | sell | 54.94 | $0.016 | $0.88 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | buy | 54.95 | $0.091 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Grok 4.20 released by January 31?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.730 | $52.14 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 40.32 | $0.389 | $15.68 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 31.64 | $0.268 | $8.47 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | sell | 6.84 | $0.750 | $5.13 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Grok 4.20 released by January 15?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.850 | $30.35 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 89.29 | $0.056 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 79.37 | $0.126 | $10 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 40.32 | $0.124 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 31.65 | $0.158 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 12.62 | $0.396 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Grok 4.20 released by January 31?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Grok 4.20 released by January 15?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 19.49 | $0.513 | $10 | Dec 26, 2025 |