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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 705.88 | $0.850 | $667.06 | +$67.06 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 149.25 | $0.402 | $59.95 | Jun 20, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 674.16 |
| $0.890 |
| $651.57 |
| +$51.57 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 595.24 | $0.840 | $520.83 | +$20.83 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 375 | $0.800 | $350.63 | +$50.63 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 340.91 | $0.880 | $324.2 | +$24.2 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 164.71 | $0.850 | $152.35 | +$12.35 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 129.87 | $0.770 | $121.43 | +$21.43 |
| buy |
| 467.39 |
| $0.920 |
| $430 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 47.06 | $0.850 | $40 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No | buy | 210.75 | $0.949 | $200 | May 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 319.15 | $0.940 | $300 | May 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | May 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.840 | $200 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 595.24 | $0.840 | $500 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 340.91 | $0.880 | $300 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 705.88 | $0.850 | $600 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 116.65 | $0.943 | $110 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 449.44 | $0.890 | $400 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 224.72 | $0.890 | $200 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 196.07 | $0.370 | $72.55 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.080 | $1.33 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | sell | 95.23 | $0.490 | $46.66 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | buy | 375 | $0.800 | $300 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out EditionYes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump sue the BBC?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 256.41 | $0.780 | $200 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 107.87 | $0.927 | $100 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?No | buy | 63.16 | $0.950 | $60 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 4, 2025?Yes | buy | 98.77 | $0.810 | $80 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will turnout be between 40% and 44% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 114.09 | $0.320 | $36.51 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will turnout be between 40% and 44% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 114.09 | $0.320 | $36.51 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will turnout be between 48% and 52% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 109.75 | $0.002 | $0.22 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will turnout be between 40% and 44% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 172.64 | $0.579 | $100 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will turnout be between 44% and 48% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 277.47 | $0.380 | $105.44 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will turnout be between 44% and 48% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 112.97 | $0.177 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will turnout be between 36% and 40% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 40.92 | $0.489 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will turnout be between 44% and 48% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 164.51 | $0.122 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will turnout be between 40% and 44% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will turnout be between 48% and 52% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 109.76 | $0.091 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will turnout be less than 36% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 107.41 | $0.931 | $100 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.960 | $300 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?Yes | buy | 98.2 | $0.611 | $60 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 168.99 | $0.053 | $8.96 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?No | buy | 131.87 | $0.910 | $120 | Oct 21, 2025 |