Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.9% on 26 Oct 2025 and the low 5% on 16 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 60 points up, to 99.9% on 26 Oct 2025. $111.16K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 20 points · 7 Oct 2025 – 26 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 9.0% |
| 26 Oct 2025 | 99.9% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 26.45K |
| bigmoneymathew | No | 2K |
| Vigilant-Democracy | No | 834.53 |
| LemmeCook. | No | 591.09 |
| poorguy69 | No | 380 |
| gopfan2 | No | 237.66 |
| BaileyB | No | 200 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 155.99 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 132 |
| lissartter | No | 124.54 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election, scheduled to take place on October 24, 2025. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Electoral Commission of Ireland (electoralcommission.ie). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/irish-presidential-election-margin-of-victory
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