Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 15 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2025 to 26 Oct 2025, the highest close was 29.5% on 19 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 28.5% on 17 Oct 2025. $9.55K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 15 Oct 2025 – 26 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2025 | 12.5% |
| 26 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.79K |
| HamzaUSF | Yes | 901.99 |
| CryptoNative25 | Yes | 639.5 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 298 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Irish Presidential Election is scheduled to be held on October 24, 2025. This market will resolve based on the total percentage of all votes cast (total poll) out of the number of people entitled to vote (the total electorate) in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election. Spoiled or invalid votes will still count toward total turnout for the purpose of this market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If voting in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Commission of Ireland (electoralcommission.ie).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/turnout-in-2025-ireland-presidential-election
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 200 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 141 |
| rated | Yes | 134.24 |
| the0bserver | Yes | 93.38 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 53.98 |
| henrywoodsparrot | Yes | 40 |
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