Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | Yes | 10.07 | $0.795 | $8.71 | +$0.71 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | 7d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 6.71 |
| $0.746 |
| $6.2 |
| +$1.2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 6.56 | $0.849 | $6.13 | +$0.56 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 5.11 | $0.782 | $4.68 | +$0.68 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? | No | 3.15 | $0.840 | $3.03 | +$0.38 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2.98 | +$0.98 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | No | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2.74 | +$0.74 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2.72 | +$0.72 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections? | No | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2.38 | +$0.38 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.28 | +$0.28 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2.26 | +$0.26 |
 US congress stock trading ban before 2027? | No | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | No | 2.28 | $0.879 | $2.17 | +$0.17 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | No | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2.12 | +$0.12 |
 Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 2.4 | $0.835 | $1.94 | -$0.06 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.09 | $0.780 | $1.9 | +$0.27 |
 Chud the Builder convicted? | Yes | 4.02 | $0.500 | $1.65 | -$0.36 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 1.92 | $0.600 | $1.63 | +$0.48 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| buy |
| 1.2 |
| $0.830 |
| $1 |
| 7d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | 7d ago |
 RFK Jr. Out by October 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?No | sell | 0.42 | $0.956 | $0.4 | 7d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.831 | $0.99 | 7d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.4 | $0.834 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.900 | $1.17 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.879 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Chud the Builder convicted?Yes | buy | 4.02 | $0.500 | $2.01 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.770 | $1.57 | May 21, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing | buy | 2.01 | $0.720 | $1.45 | May 7, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | sell | 2.89 | $0.370 | $1.07 | May 6, 2026 |
 Chirayu Rana sued?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.760 | $1.19 | May 1, 2026 |
 Chirayu Rana fired?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Don Lemon charges dropped?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.110 | $0.38 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.460 | $0.52 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.780 | $1.63 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.906 | $1.98 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nationalize elections?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.950 | $4.98 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 5.63 | $0.888 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |