Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 65 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 23.7% on 21 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 23.7% on 21 Jun 2026. $231.47K traded over the market's life.
99 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 3:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 12.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Yes | 5.19K |
| Defensive-Left-Verb | Yes | 3.19K |
| Jumbo-Tortellini | Yes | 2.81K |
On April 27, 2026, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt posted on X that President Donald J. Trump endorsed renaming Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE.” You can read more about that here: https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that changes the name of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any executive action or legislation that renames Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” will qualify, regardless of if/when the change goes into effect or if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-ice-to-nice-by-june-30
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
| TheSuperCheiii | Yes | 982.6 |
| Flaner | Yes | 577.97 |
| St3f | Yes | 482.6 |
| Indigo Quasar 0B54 | Yes | 471.09 |
| Bright Comet 02D7 | Yes | 433.45 |
| simpleman | Yes | 409.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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