Analytics
Yes is at 4.1%, down 20 points from 24% when the market opened on 13 May 2026.
Across the 165 daily closes on record from 13 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43% on 21 Jun 2026 and the lowest 4% on 14 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.5%; a month before, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 43% on 21 Jun 2026.
$10.68K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $12.54K, with a 2.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 216 trades, $403.58 bought Yes and $3.15K bought No; the largest was a $1.13K buy of No at 77.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Rex416 with 622 shares; the largest No position is vinii with 2K. Ten wallets hold 80.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 165 points, 13 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2026 | 24.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.1% |
On April 27, 2026, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt posted on X that President Donald J. Trump endorsed renaming Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE.” You can read more about that here: https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that changes the name of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any executive action or legislation that renames Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” will qualify, regardless of if/when the change goes into effect or if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-ice-to-nice-by-june-30
| simpleman |
| Yes |
| 432.86 |
| Perypery | Yes | 355.29 |
| tetrase | No | 339.08 |
| CharlesHIHI | No | 291 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 225.01 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 140.43 |
| Glaring-Farrow | No | 107.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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