Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 498.6 | $0.953 | $487.14 | +$12.14 |
 Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No | sell | 28.5 | $0.979 | $27.91 | 13h ago |
|
| No |
| 154.85 |
| $0.952 |
| $151.67 |
| +$4.32 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.72K | $0.024 | $143.95 | +$29.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 131.74 | $0.824 | $111.32 | +$2.72 |
 Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? | No | 107.81 | $0.726 | $102.42 | +$24.18 |
 Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? | No | 66.47 | $0.770 | $63.48 | +$12.28 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 32.47 | $0.887 | $29.71 | +$0.91 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 30 | $0.880 | $26.25 | -$0.15 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 25 | $0.882 | $24.4 | +$2.35 |
 USMCA extended in 2026? | No | 25 | $0.860 | $22.13 | +$0.63 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 119.62 | $0.209 | $21.71 | -$3.29 |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | No | 23.39 | $0.535 | $10.21 | -$2.32 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 18.93 | $0.565 | $9.56 | -$1.14 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 10 | $0.840 | $8.95 | +$0.55 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 11.12 | $0.809 | $8.45 | -$0.55 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 19.55 | $0.358 | $7.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 32.03 | $0.531 | $5.77 | -$11.23 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 75 | $0.052 | $4.76 | +$0.87 |
| sell |
| 28.5 |
| $0.980 |
| $27.93 |
| 13h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 26.57 | $0.730 | $19.4 | 6d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | 11d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | 15d ago |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 10 | $0.925 | $9.25 | 16d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | 16d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.978 | $44.01 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | 16d ago |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.521 | $2.61 | 16d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | 16d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | 16d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | 17d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 21.62 | $0.961 | $20.78 | 17d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 17d ago |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 21d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 23d ago |
| Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?No | sell | 15 | $0.860 | $12.9 | 25d ago |
 Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?No | sell | 5.43 | $0.796 | $4.32 | 27d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.983 | $19.65 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 30.49 | $0.820 | $25 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 50.7 | $0.999 | $50.65 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 40.93 | $0.978 | $40.03 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 10.71 | $0.962 | $10.3 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.529 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.531 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 16.85 | $0.890 | $15 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.940 | $9.39 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 40.92 | $0.943 | $38.59 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.833 | $8.33 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Trump on $250 bill this year?No | sell | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.746 | $3.73 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 43.11 | $0.972 | $41.9 | Jul 24, 2026 |