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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 1.02K | $0.838 | $976.84 | +$119.88 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.060 | $600 | 28d ago |
 |
| No |
| 700.01 |
| $0.829 |
| $654.51 |
| +$74.5 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.69K | $0.097 | $434.47 | +$174.81 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | Yes | 1.26K | $0.357 | $309.11 | -$141.73 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 348.84 | $0.860 | $308.72 | +$8.72 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 421.96 | $0.398 | $137.14 | -$30.95 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 222.77 | $0.449 | $112.5 | +$12.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 196.08 | $0.510 | $110.78 | +$10.78 |
 Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 80 | $0.870 | $75.6 | +$6 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 363.64 | $0.110 | $68.55 | +$28.55 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 50 | $0.700 | $36.25 | +$1.25 |
 Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? | Yes | 574.25 | $0.230 | $31.58 | -$100.66 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 365.69 | $0.081 | $20.11 | -$9.37 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.120 | $18.83 | -$21.17 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.150 | $7.25 | -$0.25 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.028 | $5.3 | -$0.3 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50 | $0.043 | $2.83 | +$0.68 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 16.22 | $0.052 | $1.05 | +$0.19 |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? | No | 1.04 | $0.743 | $0.99 | +$0.21 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.63 | -$0.37 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.41 | $0.547 | $0.29 | +$0.07 |
| sell |
| 650 |
| $0.290 |
| $188.5 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes | buy | 486.85 | $0.280 | $136.32 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.270 | $11.88 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 41.58 | $0.350 | $14.55 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 311.21 | $0.116 | $36.08 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Yes | buy | 59.9 | $0.219 | $13.13 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 365 | $0.600 | $219 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 222.77 | $0.449 | $100 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 348.84 | $0.860 | $300 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 365.41 | $0.547 | $200 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.880 | $440 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.840 | $420 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.080 | $32 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 624.3 | $0.080 | $49.94 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes | buy | 122.04 | $0.290 | $35.39 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.21K | $0.080 | $176.75 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.94K | $0.080 | $2.32K | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.150 | $105 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.290 | $20.3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.054 | $4.81 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.1K | $0.006 | $44.62 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes | buy | 143.43 | $0.349 | $50 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33K | $0.012 | $100 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 254.56 | $0.849 | $216.15 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.096 | $150 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.008 | $8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.007 | $1.4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.560 | $19.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 299.08 | $0.660 | $197.39 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 216.27 | $0.940 | $203.29 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 263.11 | $0.312 | $82 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 13.61 | $0.630 | $8.57 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.910 | $22.19 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 347.83 | $0.115 | $40 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Yes | buy | 228.14 | $0.438 | $100 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 132.7 | $0.820 | $108.81 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Yes | buy | 142.92 | $0.350 | $50 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 49.09 | $0.620 | $30.45 | Jun 15, 2026 |