Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 21.99K | $0.880 | $20.42K | +$1.07K |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 18.14K | $0.704 | $12.77K | 4h ago |
 |
| No |
| 13.83K |
| $0.900 |
| $13.32K |
| +$865.33 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 11.3K | $0.847 | $9.77K | +$200.59 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 7.9K | $0.896 | $7.68K | +$600.06 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 7.21K | $0.853 | $6.74K | +$590.39 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 5.63K | $0.899 | $5.45K | +$389.75 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5.43K | $0.920 | $5.08K | +$81.52 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9.56K | $0.537 | $4.92K | -$211.03 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5K | $0.900 | $4.68K | +$175.01 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.28K | $0.698 | $4.67K | +$988.36 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 4.63K | $0.906 | $4.42K | +$226.77 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 3.97K | $0.799 | $3.45K | +$281.92 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 3.59K | $0.813 | $3.28K | +$366.25 |
 Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 2.69K | $0.886 | $2.68K | +$293.52 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.65K | $0.284 | $2.02K | +$703.96 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 8.32K | $0.193 | $2K | +$387.63 |
 Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 2.04K | $0.898 | $1.98K | +$152.74 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1.68K | $0.893 | $1.55K | +$53.22 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | No | 1.61K | $0.950 | $1.52K | -$8.05 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | 1.52K | $0.899 | $1.46K | +$93.38 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 4.3K | $0.350 | $1.42K | -$85.99 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.94K | $0.623 | $1.31K | +$101.34 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 976.85 | $0.837 | $928.01 | +$110.65 |
 Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 903.92 | $0.913 | $875.9 | +$50.89 |
 Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 880 | $0.890 | $831.6 | +$48.4 |
| sell |
| 7.16K |
| $0.450 |
| $3.22K |
| 4h ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 2.84K | $0.350 | $994.34 | 4h ago |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.748 | $973.54 | 14h ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 957.71 | $0.740 | $708.71 | 14h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 953.22 | $0.540 | $514.74 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.58K | $0.440 | $1.58K | 1d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.54K | $0.928 | $7K | 1d ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 11.16 | $0.040 | $0.45 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.77K | $0.470 | $2.24K | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.49K | $0.429 | $3.64K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.56K | $0.540 | $3K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 15.2K | $0.995 | $15.12K | 6d ago |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 396.43 | $0.280 | $111 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 255.19 | $0.540 | $137.8 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.9K | $0.562 | $5K | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.55K | $0.540 | $3K | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.66K | $0.546 | $2K | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.44K | $0.530 | $5K | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.82K | $0.480 | $4.24K | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.65K | $0.430 | $2K | 7d ago |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?No | sell | 197.4 | $0.584 | $115.24 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.550 | $1.1K | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.33K | $0.400 | $1.73K | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.78K | $0.400 | $2.31K | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.28K | $0.412 | $3K | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.27K | $0.403 | $2.13K | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.76K | $0.420 | $2K | 7d ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 69.04 | $0.450 | $31.07 | 9d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.269 | $350 | 9d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.65K | $0.884 | $5K | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.04K | $0.430 | $2.17K | 9d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.890 | $2K | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.72K | $0.460 | $3.09K | 12d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 156.52 | $0.447 | $70 | 12d ago |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.599 | $750 | 12d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.210 | $6.09 | 13d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.280 | $25.2 | 13d ago |
 Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.880 | $2.06 | 13d ago |
 Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Yes | buy | 432.86 | $0.069 | $30 | 13d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.95K | $0.670 | $2.65K | 14d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.27K | $0.670 | $3.53K | 14d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 254.61 | $0.862 | $219.47 | 15d ago |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.950 | $1.53K | 15d ago |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.38K | $0.888 | $3K | 18d ago |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.957 | $1K | 18d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.16K | $0.489 | $3.5K | 21d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 15K | $0.700 | $10.5K | 21d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.95K | $0.490 | $954.14 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53.95 | $0.250 | $13.49 | 22d ago |