Analytics
Yes is at 42%, down 27 points from 69.5% when the market opened on 22 May 2026.
Across the 157 daily closes on record from 22 May 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 69.5% on 22 May 2026 and the lowest 13% on 18 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 45%; a month before, 32%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 41% on 5 Sep 2026.
$1.16K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $407.39, with a 52.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 34 trades, $242.88 bought Yes and $272.64 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 126 shares; the largest No position is i400 with 172.
Trading closes on 1 Aug 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 10:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 157 points, 22 May 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 69.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 42.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| i400 | No | 172.39 |
| CoreyTrevor | No | 129.48 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 126.12 |
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/chud-the-builder-convicted
| AnonWarriorX |
| Yes |
| 73.69 |
| willsom | Yes | 66.64 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 38.65 |
| Clesta | Yes | 32.05 |
| Squeaky-Ark | Yes | 19.25 |
| Pooters-103 | No | 19.08 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 16.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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